Professional Forex Fundamental Analysis for G8 Currencies
A quantitative framework for G8 currencies — 22 macro indicators, official CFTC COT positioning, carry trade rankings and AI-generated narratives. Built for traders and analysts who think in fundamentals.
Everything a fundamental forex trader needs
Built around one core principle: weights should reflect what moves price now, not what best describes the economy in the long run.
Official sources only. Open box, not black box.
Every data point has a declared source. Every weight has a documented rationale. The methodology is fully public in the About page.
6-tier scoring model — fully documented
The scoring hierarchy mirrors how the forex market actually prices currencies: carry > momentum > monetary cycle > structural fundamentals.
| Tier | Weight | Key Indicators |
|---|---|---|
| T1 · Monetary Policy | 29% | Interest Rate (10%), Rate Momentum (7%), Inflation (7%), CB Outlook (5%) — hawkish-pause boost + rate cycle haircut |
| T2 · External Balance | 19% | Current Account (7%), Trade Balance (4%), Public Debt (4%), Terms of Trade (4%) |
| T3 · Growth & Employment | 16% | GDP Growth (7%), Unemployment (5%), Industrial Production (4%) |
| T4 · Market Sentiment | 22% | COT Positioning (6%), Services PMI (5%), ESI Proxy (4%), Manufacturing PMI (3%), Consumer Confidence (2%), Business Confidence (2%) |
| T5 · FX Confirmator | 11% | FX Performance 1M basket-corrected (8%), 10Y Bond Yield (3%) — confirmator not driver |
| T6 · Consumption | 3% | Retail Sales (3%) |
Score differential >25pt → High confidence
18–25pt → Medium confidence
<18pt → Low confidence
Pair quality % reflects completeness of available indicators.
Why use the Global Investing dashboard as a reference tool
The dashboard is designed to be a transparent, auditable complement to internal analysis systems — not a black box. Every weight, every source and every calculation method is publicly documented.
- Official data sources only: CFTC, ECB, FRED (St. Louis Fed), OECD, World Bank, central bank websites
- Open-box methodology — full weight documentation in the About page
- Robust legal framework: explicit non-advisory disclaimers, risk acknowledgement, GDPR compliance
- Automated infrastructure with 11 GitHub Actions workflows and data health monitoring
- Intelligent cache system: AI analysis regenerates on data change, not on a fixed timer
- Contrarian COT logic: extreme positioning penalises score — no trend-chasing bias
- Accessible without registration — suitable for team-wide distribution
A rigorous starting point for G8 currency analysis
Real-time data, updated automatically. No account required.